ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR 2025-26
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DETAILED FORECAST:
From the last week of May, 2025 till the year-end Conditions will become progressively HOT registering FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES throughout India. Central and Northern states of Indian states will be more affected due to this Extreme Hot conditions compared to the southern states,. These conditions will progressively increase from 2023-24 to 2027 and rapidly drop to normal & below normal from 2028.
(A) (1) Catastrophic flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall, Hailstorms are forecast from the second weekend of February, 2025 till the last week of March, 2025. Northwest, West and Central states of India will experience these conditions. Landslides are warned during the last week of February, 2025. These conditions will progressively (descend) spread down to the southern peninsular states. From the last week of March, 2025 till the third week of May, 2025 the above regions will experience “CLOUDBURST” induced Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall causing “CATASTROPHIC FLOODS”. From the second week of April till the middle of May, 2025 along with the southern peninsular states; East & northeast states of India will experience Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall due to “CLOUDBURST” causing “CATASTROPHIC FLOODS”. Hilly regions and High Altitude regions will experience more rainfall than the plains. Bay of Bengal will experience Severe Cyclones during the month of May, 2025.
Important Dates for precautionary measures:
1) Due to Extra-Tropical Cyclonic Circulation, Anti-Cyclonic circulation Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast between 16th and 22nd February, 2025. During the above period Flash Floods and Landslides are warned in Northwest, West and Central states of India. During the above period moderate rainfall in South Tamilnadu and Kerala is forecast. More rainfall is forecast till the end of Feb 2025.
(2) Between 24th February and 1st March, 2025 and again between 5th and 9th March, 2025 eastern part of Northwest, North, West and Central states of India will experience Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall causing flash floods. During the same period due to the convergence of low pressure troughs from the Arabian Sea and from the Bay of Bengal the southern states Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, coastal Kerala and Karnataka will experience Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall.
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ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST for 2025-26
(3) Between 24th February and 1st March, 2025 and again between 5th and 9th March, 2025 eastern part of Northwest, West and Central states of India will experience Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall causing flash floods. During the same period due to the convergence of low pressure troughs from the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal the southern peninsular states Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, coastal Kerala and Karnataka will experience Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall.
(4) Between 13th and 16th March, 2025 due to the convergence of low pressure troughs from the west coast and east coast Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall will cause flash floods in the southern peninsular states Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Karnataka. Possibility of a Cyclone/depression crossing the coast between Kodikkarai and Pondicherry around 14/15th March, 2025 is forecast. During the same period due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall Catastrophic floods are warned for the Northwest, West, North and Central states of India.
(5) Catastrophic flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is warned between 20th and 24th March, 2025. The southern peninsular states Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Karnataka will experience these conditions. This is the Beginning of Extended period of Catastrophic floods” upsetting normal life,
During the same period eastern part of Northwest, West, North and Central states of India will experience Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall causing flash floods.
(6) Between 27th March and 3rd April, 2025 a low pressure/depression in the Bay of Bengal will cause Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall. During the above period devastations due to thunderstorms, CATASTROPHIC FLOODING due to “CLOUDBURSTs” are warned. Between the 5th April and 8th April, 2025 more “CLOUDBURSTs” are warned. The southern peninsular states Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Karnataka will experience these conditions.
(7) Between 11th and 15th April, 2025 look for a Cyclone/depression in the Bay of Bengal. Cyclone will drift towards Bangladesh/Myanmar. Catastrophic floods due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall – “CLOUDBURST” is forecast during the above period. These conditions will continue till 18th April, 2025. The southern peninsular states Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Karnataka will experience these conditions.
(8) Between 20th and 28th April, 2025 (peak dates 20th to 22nd & 25th to 28th) “CLOUDBURST” Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast due to the convergence of low pressure troughs from the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal. During the above period Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Karnataka will experience Severe floods. Again between 2nd and 5th May, 2025 due to “CLOUDBURST” Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall causing Severe floods is forecast for the above states.
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ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST for 2025-26
(9) Between 7th and 15th May, 2025 look for a “Simultaneous Severe Cyclones” in the Bay of Bengal and in the Arabian Sea. The Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal will cross the coast around 14th/15th May, 2025 between Cuddalore and Nellore. Cloudburst, Catastrophic flooding, and Devastations due to Landslides are warned till 17th May, 2025. The Cyclone in the Arabian Sea will cross the coast around 14th/15th May, 2025 between Kozhikode & Udupi. This system will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall till 22nd may, 2025.
(B) 2025 SOUTHWEST MONSOON will set between 30th May & 5th June, 2025. Progress of Southwest Monsoon will be sluggish & delayed above Latitude 16-18deg N (axis) tilted towards northeast. Conditions will be Very Hot with temperature reaching record levels between the first week of June till the third week of July, 2025. Southwest Monsoon will be active till the second week of October, 2025. Hilly regions & High Altitude regions will experience more rainfall than the plains.
Three different patterns of rainfall are forecast during 2025 Southwest Monsoon:
(1) From the beginning of June, 2025 till the middle of July, 2025 Squally winds with thunderstorms, Tornadoes due to Extra-Tropical Cyclonic circulation, Sub-Tropical Cyclonic circulations and Convective activity are forecast. East & Northeast regions will get maximum benefits during the above period. During the above period “Rainfall will be Far Below the Normal levels”;
(i) Between 23rd May and 1st June, 2025 a “Severe Cyclone” is forecast in the Bay of Bengal. Cyclone will cross the coast around 29th May, 2025 between Ongole and Vishakhapatnam. CATASTROPHIC FLOODING due to CLOUDBURST and Devastations due to strong storm and SEVERE LANDSLIDES (Earthquake?) will upset normal life. Peak dates: from the 23th to 28th May, 2025 and again from the 30th May to 1st June, 2025. Localised thunderstorms with Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast from the 2nd to 4th June, 2025.
(ii) Look for “Simultaneous Severe Cyclones” (Sub-Tropical Cyclone?) in the Bay of Bengal and in the Arabian Sea between 8th and 15th June, 2025. The Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal will cross the coast around 14th/15th June, 2025 between Srikakulam and Malta. Catastrophic floods due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall, Hail storms; devastations due to severe storm gusts, Killer Lightning and Landslides are warned during the above period. Eastern regions of the Central, East, Northeast states & the northern regions of the southern states will experience these conditions; The Cyclone in the Arabian Sea will also cross the coast around 14th/15th June, 2025 between Mangalore and Goa causing severe floods and devastations.
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ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST for 2025-26
(iii) “Simultaneous Severe Cyclones” (Sub-Tropical Cyclone?) in the Bay of Bengal and in the Arabian Sea are forecast From the 18th to 26th June, 2025 and between 29th June & 10th July, 2025 Severe Flash floods due to Hail storms, heavy to Very Heavy rainfall (Cloudburst), Killer Lightning and Landslides are forecast. Tornadoes are warned during the above period. Eastern regions of the Central, East, Northeast states & the northern regions of the southern states will experience these conditions, Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal will move towards Bangladesh/ Myanmar and the cyclone in the Arabian Sea will drift away towards Gwadar port.
- iv) From 8th July to 11th July, 2025 Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall at isolated places is forecast. During the above period Southwest Monsoon will rapidly advance towards the north and northwest regions of India and cover the entire nation.
- v) Look for a Cyclone in the Arabian Sea between 9th and 17th July, 2025. This Cyclone will cross the coast @ 16th July, 2025 between Mumbai and DIU (Gujarat). Catastrophic floods and devastations due to strong storm will upset normal life. This system will continue to dump heavy to very heavy rainfall till 20th July, 2025 causing Flash Floods and Severe Landslides.
(2) From the third week of July, 2025 till the Second week of September, 2025
Heavy to Very heavy rainfall due to Extra-Tropical Cyclonic circulation, Anti-Cyclonic circulation, Sub-Tropical Cyclonic circulations & Convective activity are forecast. Temperatures will rise Far above normal, progressively become Very Hot with Severe Heat Wave conditions (June–August) will upset normal life in the states above Latitude 16-18deg N; below this hot & dry weather will prevail.
(i) Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall from 23rd to 26th July, 2025 causing Flash Floods is forecast. Due to extra-tropical cyclonic circulation Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall, localised thunderstorm activity will cause Flash floods & Severe Landslides from 30th July to 1st August, 2025 and again from 7th to 12th August, 2025. West and North-west states, interior regions of northern & central states will be affected.
(ii) Between 11th August and 17th August, 2025 look for a Severe Cyclone in the Arabian Sea. The Cyclone will cross the coast between Somnath and Gwadar. Devastations due to Strong storm and Catastrophic floods due to heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast. Killer lightning and Landslides are forecast during the above period. West, Northwest and Northern states of India will be affected during the above period.
(iii) Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast between 20th and 24th August, 2025 and again between 30th August and 2nd September, 2025. West, Northwest and interiors of Northern states of India will be affected during the above period. During the above period moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast for Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Telangana, North & Central Karnataka & Andhra Pradesh.
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ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST for 2025-26
(3) From the second week of September till the second week of October, 2025 the final phase of 2025 Southwest Monsoon will experience Severe Cyclones, Cloudbursts. Landslide Devastations and Catastrophic flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall are warned during the above period. From the middle of September, 2025 till the end of April, 2026 Spate of “CYCLONEs –CLOUDBURSTs, LANDSLIDES and KILLER LIGHTNING” are forecast.
During the above period the frequency of “CLOUDBURSTs, LANDSLIDES and KILLER LIGHTNING” will cause Catastrophic Devastations describable as “Once in a Millennium Catastrophe”.
Important Dates for precautionary measures:
(i) Between 7th and 16th September, 2025 a Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal is forecast. This Cyclone/depression will cross the coast around 14th September, 2025 between Ongole and Vishakhapatnam. Catastrophic flooding due to Cloudburst related heavy to Very Heavy rainfall and devastations due to severe storm, Killer Lightning and Landslides will cause fatalities and upset normal life till 21st September, 2025. During the above period West, Northwest and Northern states of India will be affected; Interiors of Central and southern states will get moderate to heavy rainfall,
(ii) Between 24th September and 7th October, 2025 another Cyclone or “CATASTROPHIC CLOUDBURST” is forecast. This Cyclone will cross the coast around 3rd/4th October between Mamallapuram and Kavali (AP) with Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall due to “CATASTROPHIC CLOUDBURST” causing Severe flooding and devastations due to Landslides and Killer lightning.
(C) 2025 Northeast monsoon will set around 18th/19th October, 2025 and will be active & Vigorous till the third week of January, 2026. During the above period simultaneous Cyclones/Depressions in the Bay of Bengal and in the Arabian Sea is forecast. Squally winds with thunderstorms, “Severe Floods due to CYCLONEs, and CLOUDBURST” are warned. KILLER LIGHTNING and Devastations due to Severe Landslides are forecast during the above period. Tamilnadu, south Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and South Karnataka will be affected. West, Northwest Indian states will also experience these conditions. Hilly regions and High Altitude regions will experience more rainfall than the plains.
Important Dates for precautionary measures:
(i) Between 9th and 18th October, 2025 Look for a Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal. This system will cross the coast around 14th-17th October, 2025 between Chennai and Ongole. Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall due to “CATASTROPHIC CLOUDBURST” causing “SEVERE FLOODING” & devastations due to “LANDSLIDEs and KILLER LIGHTNING” will upset normal life Tamilnadu, south Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and South Karnataka will be affected.
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ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST for 2025-26
(ii) Severe Cloudburst causing Massive Landslide (Earthquake?!) is forecast between 19th and 21st October, 2025. Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala & South Karnataka will be affected. Northwest India will experience these conditions.
(iii) Between 26th October and 2nd November,2025 a sub-tropical cyclonic circulation will dump Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall due to “CATASTROPHIC CLOUDBURST” causing “SEVERE FLOODING”. “LANDSLIDEs and KILLER LIGHTNING” will upset normal life till 2nd November, 2025,
(iv) Look for another Cyclone/Depression between 5th and 16th November, 2025. This Cyclone/Depression will cross the coast between Nagapattinam and Mamallapuram around 12th/ 13th November, 2025. During the above period “CATASTROPHIC CLOUDBURST” dump Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall causing “SEVERE FLOODING”. “LANDSLIDEs (Earthquake?) and KILLER LIGHTNING” will upset normal life
(v) From 19th to 24th November, 2025 a Cyclone/sub-tropical cyclonic circulation (Reverse Cyclone?) is forecast. Around 23rd/24th November, 2025 the above Cyclone will cross the coast between Kodikkarai and Tarangambadi. Severe Flooding due to “CATASTROPHIC CLOUDBURST” and Devastations due to powerful gusts, LANDSLIDEs and KILLER LIGHTNING” are warned.
(vi) Between 26th November and 8th December, 2025 Severe Cyclone/sub-tropical cyclonic circulation is forecast. This system will cross the coast as a Cyclone/Depression around 6th /7th December, 2025 between Karaikkal and Pondicherry causing Severe floods due to “CATASTROPHIC CLOUDBURST” (Peak dates; 3rd to 7th December, 2025). Devastations due to LANDSLIDEs and KILLER LIGHTNING” are warned during the above period.
(vii) Mainly dry weather with occasional moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast at isolated places between 9th and 22nd December, 2025: Peak Rainfall dates: 11th to 15th December, 2025 and 19th to 22nd December, 2025.
(viii) The last Cyclone/sub-tropical cyclonic circulation of 2025 is forecast between 26thDecember, 2025 and 4th January, 2026. Around 28th/29th December, 2025 the Cyclone will cross the coast between Kanniyakumari and Rameswaram. “SEVERE FLOODING” due to “CATASTROPHIC CLOUDBURST” is forecast; devastations due to LANDSLIDEs and KILLER LIGHTNING” are warned. East and North-eastern states will also experience the above conditions.
(ix) From 9th to 17th January, 2026 (Cyclone-Cloudburst). More heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast till 23rd January, 2026 and from 25th to 28th January 2026. South & Central regions of Tamilnadu, Kerala and southwest Karnataka will experience the above conditions.
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ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST for 2025-26
# Winter 2024-25: Till the 3rd week of December, 2025 temperatures will be “Above normal”. Emergence of a Strong positive Indian Ocean dipole is forecast from the first week of January, 2025 and the last week of February, 2025. Blizzards with Heavy to Very Heavy Snowfall/ Icy rainfall are forecast during the above periods. CATASTROPHIC AVALANCHES, LANDSLIDES and “Snow ado” are warned during the above periods. Regions BELOW “Latitude `18 deg N” will experience warmer conditions (Hot!?). Isolated Thunderstorms with Icy rainfall, Hailstorms, Killer lightning, Flash floods and Landslides are forecast during the above period. Hilly regions and High Altitude regions will experience more rainfall than the plains.
Important Dates for precautionary measures:
(a) Powerful Blizzards will dump heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall from 19th to 23rd December, 2025,
(b) Between 26th December, 2025 and 3rd January, 2026 Blizzards, Thunder snow, Killer lightning and Severe Avalanches are forecast. Eastern regions of Northern States and North-eastern states will experience these conditions.
Peak dates: 28th -29th December, 2025
(c) From 10th to 12th January, 2026 and again from 15th to 18th January, 2026 Blizzards, Thunder snow, Killer lightning and Severe Avalanches are forecast. West and North-west states will experience these conditions.
(d) Blizzards, Thunder snow, Killer lightning and Severe Avalanches are forecast from 20th to 22nd January, 2026; from 25th to 27th January, 2026 and again from 30th January to 4th February, 2026. West, North-west and Northern states will experience these conditions.
(e) Blizzards, Thunder snow, Icy Rainfall, Killer lightning and Severe Avalanches are forecast from 7th to 10th February, 2026 & again from 13th to 18th February, 2026. West, North-west, Northern and North-eastern states will experience these conditions.
(f) Powerful Blizzards, Thunder snow, Icy Rainfall, Killer lightning and Severe Avalanches are forecast from 23rd to 26th February, 2026 and
(g) Between 2nd and 8th March, 2026 Devastations due to Powerful Blizzard, Thunder snow, Icy Rainfall, Killer lightning, Catastrophic flooding and Severe Landslides/Avalanches are forecast. Till 12th March, 2026 these conditions will continue. West, Northwest & Northern states will experience these conditions.
(h) Between 15th March and 20th March, 2026 Catastrophic Flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy Icy rainfall, Heavy to Very Heavy Snowfall due to Blizzard at High altitude is forecast. During the above period Severe Landslides/Avalanches are forecast. West, Northwest & Northern states will experience these conditions.
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ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST for 2025-26
Forecast for 2026 February to May:
(i) From the beginning of February, 2026 till the first week of March, 2026 moderate to occasional heavy rainfall is forecast for the coastal and eastern regions of Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh and the north-eastern states of India.
Important dates: (a) 7th to 10th February, 2026, (b) 16th to 19th February, 2026,
(ii) Look for Cyclone/Depression between 22nd February and 2nd March, 2026. Devastations due to severe gusts, Catastrophic flooding due to Cloudburst, Killer Lightning & Landslides are warned during the above period. Southern states and north-eastern states will suffer.
(iii) Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal between 3rd and 13th March, 2026 is forecast. This system will cross the coast around 8th to 11th March, 2026 between Nagapattinam and Cuddalore. Severe floods, Landslides due to Cloudburst and devastations due to strong gusts, and Killer Lightning are warned.
Severe flooding and landslides due to Cloudburst and Killer Lightning are warned from 15th to 20th March, 2026.
Strong Indian Ocean Di-Pole is forecast between the middle of March, 2026 and the middle of May, 2026. During the above period Cyclones, Tornadoes, Cloudburst, Flash Floods, Landslides and Killer lightning are forecast.
- RAMACHANDRAN, Vedic Meteorologist
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